My Predictions For The Smartphone Industry

I bought my first smartphone in early 2012 and soon after bought the iPhone 4s. At the time of writing this article it is now September 11, 2015. I’ve had this iPhone 4s for nearly 3 years and, surprisingly, it still works like the day I got it. I can’t even explain the amount of whiskey fuelled nights, reckless festival camping trips, getting out the car drops and unexplained dropping of this phone that has happened.

The single only piece of damage that this phone has taken was to the back cover of the iPhone body it’s self. Which I already got repaired when I mailed it into The Phone Lad repair shop in Sault Ste. Marie. I can’t remember how much it was but it was around $60 plus mailing it. I live pretty far north so it was worth just mailing it in. What’s funny is that as soon as I got my phone back, 3 of my other buddies found out about this service and boom they sent there phones down and got them back fixed within a week. Now what does this mean? Well I’m thinking one of the biggest economic industries of 2015 is cell phone repairing businesses. I have no idea how much they make but you what…if I drop my phone again…which is likely to happen within the next 3 years. They’ll be getting my business again through the mail. So let’s do the math. 30 million canadians. Lets be conservative and say that at least 7 millions iPhones. Now, how many beers is that? And how many canucks with a beer in one hand and phone in the other means a phone repair for cell phone repair businesses like this one? Well perhaps the average would be 1/3 cell phone users needs a repair every year. So let’s say 1 million repairs!!! a year. That make the industry worth 50-100 million in repairs alone. All for the simple fix of a silly drop pictured below.

Broken iPhone screen

Pretty crazy to think about just how may cell phones are out there. So what’s my prediction? I think the refurbish industry will outgrow the new smartphone industry as people get tired of signing onto ridiculous plans and worldwide wifi, from guys like Elon Musk become the norm. With worldwide wifi…there not going to be a need to sign up for a contract. Which makes a $700 phone purchase ludacris when a repair or customization is only $100. I’m not sure show long i’ll stick with iPhone 4s but it just keeps going. I guess the new iPhone and iOS update was actually good news for the iPhone4s as Apple decided to make it reasonable “memory wise” to allow. Meaning all of us stuck on the old operating system now have the opportunity to get the full upgrade. I have a 16g, I don’t think it was even possible to have the iOS 8 update put on my phone. A few times, staring at that cracke diphone screen, i did consider the upgrade but us 4sr’s must ride strong! Apparently apple to notice and stopped putting iPhone 4s users at risk of malware attacks for not having enough space for updates. Good guy apple is back!

-Kevin Cook

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